Showing posts with label books. Show all posts
Showing posts with label books. Show all posts

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

New book predicting collapse of U.S. dollar

The book is Aftershock: Protect yourself and profit in the next global financial meltdown, and it's by two analysts who predicted the subprime meltdown earlier. Reuters has a review of it here.

The authors predict:
...The euro will rise to about $2 over the next two to three years, before surging rapidly above $3, [according to] Wiedemer, whose risk assessment firm advises hedge funds and businesses.

At first, Treasuries will keep their safe haven status. A year or two of double-digit inflation and interest rates will then trigger a sell off in U.S. government bonds and batter stocks, says the book published by John Wiley & Sons.

This view is extreme even among those economists who expect the dollar to decline in coming years....

Extreme indeed. The greenback's being bashed an awful lot lately; given that the Euro's breached the $1.50 resistance level, that bashing makes some short-term sense. On the other hand, markets are notoriously refractory. Consider: if I can secure a foreign-exchange account that offers 3% overnight leverage, and if my timing is superb enough to win a gains cushion for the account, I can sit back and expect to make more than ten-and-a-half times my initial capital. [32% gain * 33.3-to-1 leverage.] That seems way too good to be true.

If the Euro rises above its previous record of $1.60 and stays there, we have more fuel for the emerging gold bubble.